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:: Volume 2, Issue 2 (Quarterly Journal Of Energy Policy and Planning Research 2016) ::
2016, 2(2): 61-101 Back to browse issues page
The Effect of Energy Consumption on Economic Growth In Iran Bayesian Model Averaging
Mohsen Mehrara * , Sadegh Rezaei Bargshadi , Soheila Hamedi
Abstract:   (5096 Views)

This paper investigates relationship of 16 variables on economic growth in Iran, using Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) and annual time series data from 1961 to 2014. “Inclusion probability” indicates that investment ratio, population growth rate (with a negative sign), imported capital good growth, labor force growth, and imported intermediate good growth take the first to fifth rank regarding their effects on economic growth respectively. The relationship between energy consumption and growth in non-oil production due to the low probability of this variable in the model is insignificant. Thus saving energy policies are not a threat to economic growth in Iran.

Keywords: Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, Non-oil GDP, Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA).
Full-Text [PDF 966 kb]   (3246 Downloads)    
Type of Study: Research | Subject: Special
Received: 2017/04/22 | Accepted: 2017/04/22 | Published: 2017/04/22
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Mehrara M, Rezaei Bargshadi S, Hamedi S. The Effect of Energy Consumption on Economic Growth In Iran Bayesian Model Averaging. Quarterly Journal of Energy Policy and Planning Research 2016; 2 (2) :61-101
URL: http://epprjournal.ir/article-1-214-en.html


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Volume 2, Issue 2 (Quarterly Journal Of Energy Policy and Planning Research 2016) Back to browse issues page
مجله پژوهش های برنامه ریزی و سیاستگذاری انرژی Journal of Energy Planning And Policy Research
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