The trade in fossil fuels is one of the sources of income and one of the important factors of economic growth and development. Most developing countries, due to the lack of sufficient technology in the production process, do not have the ability to properly refine fossil fuels, and in return, by adopting a policy of exporting fossil fuels and importing goods, transfer the pollution to other countries. In other words, the trade in fossil fuels of developing countries and developed and industrialized countries causes the transmission of pollution through transportation channels and production channels. Also, population growth and production due to fossil fuel consumption are among the factors affecting this pollution transfer (fossil energy exports) between countries with trade relations. Using a multivariate panel linear model, this paper examines the impact of the fossil fuel trade on CO2 emissions, focusing on the transmission of pollution between target countries during the period 2018-2000. The results show that fossil energy trade channels (transportation and production) have a significant effect on CO2 emissions. The results also showed that the effects of transportation and manufacturing on CO2 emissions in developed countries are higher compared to developing countries, which indicates the transfer of pollution from developing countries to developed countries. Other results show that population growth and GDP have a positive and significant relationship with fossil fuel exports and pollution transmission between target countries, and trade freedom increases the volume of fossil fuel trade and thus increases CO2 emissions.
hazery niri H, Akhyjany R. Interaction of effective channels of fossil fuel trade and population growth on CO2 emissions and pollution transmission. Quarterly Journal of Energy Policy and Planning Research 2022; 7 (4) : 6 URL: http://epprjournal.ir/article-1-1071-en.html