fa ارائه الگوی مناسب ریسک های راهبردی در سازمان آب و برق استان خوزستان تخصصي Special پژوهشي Research <div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="font-size:12px;"><span style="line-height:2;"><span style="font-family:IRANsans;"><span style="background:white"><span style="direction:rtl"><span style="unicode-bidi:embed"><span calibri=""><span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">نبود اطمینان محیطی و شدت رقابت در بازارهای جهانی، شرکتها&nbsp; را با چالشها و ریسکهای راهبردی متعددی مواجه کرده است. هدف این پژوهش، طراحی مدلی مناسب ریسک های راهبردی در سازمان آب و برق استان خوزستان که مانع از تحقق اهداف راهبردی شده میشود و به شکل همه جانبه و کلان بر تمامی اجزا و ابعاد صنعت تأثیر میگذارد. مطالعه حاضر از</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">نظر</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">هدف</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">و</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">جمع</span></span></span><span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">‌</span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">آوری</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">داده</span></span></span><span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">‌</span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">ها ترکیبی</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">کاربردی</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">و</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">اکتشافی</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">است</span></span></span><span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">. </span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">در</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">بخش</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">کیفی</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">از</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">مصاحبه</span></span></span><span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">‌</span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">های</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">نیمه</span></span></span><span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">‌</span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">ساختاری، گروه</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">متمرکز</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">و</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">گروه</span></span></span><span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">‌</span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">بندی</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">خبره</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">و</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">در</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">قسمت</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">کمی</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">معادلات</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">ساختاری</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">استفاده</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">شده</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">است</span></span></span><span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">. </span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">نتایج</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">منجر</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">به</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">شناسایی</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">و</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">تدوین</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">110 شاخص</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">در</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">حوزه</span></span></span><span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black"> ریسک های راهبردی </span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">شد که بیش</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">از</span></span></span><span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black"> 50 </span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">درصد</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">خبرگان،</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">60 کد</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">را</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">انتخاب</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">نمودند</span></span></span><span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black"> و </span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">کدهایی</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">که</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">از</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">یک</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">جنس</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">هستند</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">در</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">گروهی</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">مجزا</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">قرار گرفت و در پایان</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">کدها</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">در</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">13 مؤلفه و</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">6 بعد</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">گروه</span></span></span><span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">‌</span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">بندی</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">شد</span></span></span><span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">. ﻧﺘﺎیﺞ ﻧﺸﺎ</span></span></span><span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">ن</span></span></span> <span lang="AR-SA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">داد </span></span></span><span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">ﮐﻪ</span></span></span> <span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">داده ها در سه مرحلۀ کدگذاری باز، محوری و گزینشی با استفاده از نرم افزار اطلس تی، مورد</span></span></span> <span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">تجزیه و تحلیل قرار گرفتند. بر این اساس، 60 شاخص در قالب 13 ریسک، شامل&nbsp; اقتصادی، سیاسی و قانونی، زیست‌محیطی و اقلیمی، مدیریت پایدار منابع آبی و برقی، سیاسی و حکمرانی، سازمانی و مدیریتی، فرهنگی و اجتماعی، </span></span></span><span dir="LTR"><span style="font-family:IRNazanin"></span></span></span></span></span></span><br> <span style="background:white"><span style="direction:rtl"><span style="unicode-bidi:embed"><span calibri=""><span lang="FA"><span b="" zar=""><span style="color:black">تدوین برنامه‌ریزی، نگهداری و توسعه، منابع درآمدی، پایداری و امنیت منابع، افزایش بهره‌وری و کارایی، پاسخگویی بهتر به تغییرات و بحران‌ها، شناسایی و دسته بندی شدند.</span></span></span><span lang="FA"><span style="font-family:"B Zar""></span></span></span></span></span></span><br> &nbsp;</span></span></span></div> <div style="text-align: justify;"><span style="line-height:2;"><span style="font-size:14px;"><span style="font-family:Times New Roman;"><span calibri=""><span new="" roman="" times="">The lack of environmental certainty and the intensity of competition in global markets have made companies face many challenges and strategic risks. The purpose of this research is to design a suitable model of strategic risks in the water and electricity organization of Khuzestan province, which prevents the realization of strategic goals and affects all components and dimensions of the industry in a comprehensive and macro way. The current study is a combination of practical and exploratory in terms of purpose and data collection. In the qualitative part, semi-structured interviews, focus groups, and expert groups were used, and in the quantitative part, structural equations were used. The results led to the identification and formulation of 110 indicators in the field of strategic risks, in which more than 50% of the experts chose 60 codes, and the codes that are of the same type were placed in a separate group, and at the end, the codes were grouped into 13 components and 6 dimensions. The results showed that the data were analyzed in three stages open, central, and selective coding using Atlas T software. Based on this, 60 indicators in the form of 13 risks, including economic, political and legal, environmental and climatic, sustainable management of water and electricity resources, political and governance, organizational and managerial, cultural and social, planning development, maintenance and development, income sources, stability and security of resources, increasing productivity and efficiency, better response to changes and crises, were identified and categorized.</span></span><br> &nbsp;</span></span></span></div> مدیریت ریسک, ریسک راهبردی, راهبردها risk management, strategic risk, strategies, water and electricity organization 27 49 http://epprjournal.ir/browse.php?a_code=A-10-1266-1&slc_lang=fa&sid=1 Ata Harandi عطاءاله هرندی harandi@ut.ac.ir 10031947532846006497 10031947532846006497 Yes University of Tehran دانشگاه تهران Forough Adhami فروغ ادهمی adhame1978@gmail.com 10031947532846006498 10031947532846006498 No University of Tehran دانشگاه تهران