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Technology Roadmap Development for Enhanced Oil Recovery: System Dynamics Approach
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Reza Radfar *   , Pegah Kyarasi Heidar , Mahmood Alborzi , Abbas Toloie Ashlaghi |
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Abstract: (3375 Views) |
| This study provides a dynamic behavior analysis of roadmap development for enhanced oil recovery (EOR) technologies based on system dynamics in order to reduce domestic R&D costs. The key variables and causal-loop diagram were identified via expert opinion and data. The mathematical relationships amongst variables were identified based on background research and in approximately two years, a mathematical model of the system was developed using computer simulations in VENSIM. The results indicated two types of damped oscillation and goal-seeking dynamic behaviors for model variables. Further, the dynamic hypotheses testing indicated that increased technological maturity and education reduces costs while increased technologic complexity would increase the costs. The best scenario was identified as a combination of highly-mature technology, high complexity, and high education level as it leads to minimum costs. |
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| Keywords: Technology Road-mapping, domestic R&D, System Dynamics |
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Full-Text [PDF 1370 kb]
(1404 Downloads)
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Type of Study: case report |
Subject:
Special
Received: 2018/08/23 | Accepted: 2019/01/26 | Published: 2019/03/15
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